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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
laufend15-45 min30-90 minAs needed
Participantsdifferent
2-121-83-124-15
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineIncident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder Updates
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
IncidentOperationsReliability
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