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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
laufend15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-121-84-12 Experten6-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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