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| Criterion | ![]() Agile NoEstimates | ![]() Product Discovery Learning Card | ![]() Product Discovery Smoke Test | ![]() Product Discovery Fake Door Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 25-40 min | 1-5 Tage | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-5 | Nutzertraffic | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Learning Card with evidence and next action | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery |



