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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Context Map workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Domain Modeling
Context Map
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When several contexts need to talk to each other, it makes their relationships and dependencies legible. It helps sort integration pressure and responsibilities across system boundaries.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend15-60 min1-3 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-122-92-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsContext Map, Integration Patterns, Boundary NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
EstimationEffortAgile
Domain-Driven DesignBoundariesStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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