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| Criterion | ![]() Agile NoEstimates | ![]() Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree | ![]() Systems Thinking Systems Mapping | ![]() Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | laufend | 2-4 h | 1-3 h | 60-120 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 3-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | System Map, Dependencies, Leverage Points | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking |



