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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowMedium
Timedifferent
laufend2-4 h15-60 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
2-123-82-92-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsIdeal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
EstimationEffortAgile
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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