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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Option Framing |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early decisions, alternatives are often still vague, incomplete, or blended together. Option Framing brings every possibility into a comparable form and makes visible which variant actually fits the question. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 1-4 Wochen | 45-120 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Option Frames, Assumption Notes, Comparable Shortlist, Decision Inputs | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OptionsDecision framingStrategyComparison | EstimationExpertsForecasting |