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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend1-4 Wochen15-60 min je ZyklusHalf day
Participantsdifferent
2-126-30 Experten1-83-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesLeverage Map, Action Strategy
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
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