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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of VRIO Framework with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
VRIO Framework
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
laufend45-90 min90-180 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-122-83-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanVRIO Table, Strategic ActionsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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