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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
laufend45-60 min1-4 Wochen1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-122-81-62-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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