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| Criterion |  Agile NoEstimates |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | laufend | 30-60 min | 10-30 min je Item | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationForecastingFlow | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | EstimationExpertsForecasting |