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Criterion
Paper illustration for NoEstimates.
Agile
NoEstimates
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
laufend1-4 Wochen30-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-121-63-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing RulesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationForecastingFlow
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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