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| Criterion |  Delivery Monte Carlo Forecasting |  Architecture ATAM (Architecture Tradeoff Analysis Method) |  Facilitation Dot Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, and Risk Communication. | ATAM helps teams weigh architecture decisions when quality goals compete. The team considers business goals, stakeholder expectations, and technical decisions together. The evaluation shows which risks need further investigation. | When size or effort can only be estimated roughly, Dot Estimation condenses the group's experience into a quick range. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as an Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, and Discussion Targets. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30-90 min Setup, danach laufend | Several meetings plus preparation and analysis; total effort depends on scope | 5-20 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-8 | Evaluation team, architects, and relevant stakeholders | 3-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Forecast Percentiles, Throughput Dataset, Risk Communication | Prioritized quality scenarios in a utility tree, Architecture risks with reasoning and assumptions, Sensitivity and trade-off points, Findings report with open investigations | Effort Heatmap, Risk Signals, Discussion Targets |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingFlowDelivery | ArchitectureQualityRiskTradeoffsStakeholders | EstimationEffortRisk |
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