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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | Half day | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 2-4 h | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 4-12 Experten | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |