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Criterion
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Purposedifferent
Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Half day1-4 Wochen10-30 min je Item15-60 min je Zyklus
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten1-81-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Leverage Map, Action StrategyExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
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