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Criterion
Paper illustration of a Learning Card with four fields for hypothesis, observation, insight, and action.
Product Discovery
Learning Card
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
The Learning Card connects traceable test results to a reasoned next action while keeping the limits of the insight visible.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
25-40 min1-4 Wochen1-2 Wochen pro Iteration45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
1-56-30 Experten2-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Learning Card with evidence and next actionExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryLearning
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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