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| Criterion |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 45-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | LeanStartupValidationMVP | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model |