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Criterion
Paper illustration of Lean Startup with its method-specific working model.
Innovation
Lean Startup
Paper illustration for PERT Estimation.
Decision Making
PERT Estimation
Paper illustration of Pretotyping with its method-specific working model.
Product Discovery
Pretotyping
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight.On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes.Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus15-45 minStunden bis wenige Tage45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-81-81-42-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decisionPERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk NotesPretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decisionAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
LeanStartupValidationMVP
EstimationUncertaintyRisk
ValidationDemandMVP
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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