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| Criterion |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 60-120 min | 1-5 Tage | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 4-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | LeanStartupValidationMVP | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |