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| Criterion |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 60-120 min | 2-4 h | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | LeanStartupValidationMVP | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | StartupValidationCompetition |