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| Criterion |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Pretotyping |  Product Discovery Fake Door Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Pretotyping clarifies whether a customer problem and solution idea create enough real demand. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence, and captures the result as a pretotyping sketch, test setup, and conversion data. | When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 1-4 Wochen | Stunden bis wenige Tage | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 1-4 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Pretotyping sketch, Test setup, Conversion data, Go or no-go decision | Click Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision |
Tagsno overlap | LeanStartupValidationMVP | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ValidationDemandMVP | ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery |