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| Criterion |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Product Discovery Experiment Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | When experiments become unreadable after the fact, it arranges hypothesis, signal, and learning goal on a single canvas. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Completed Experiment Canvas and a Success Metric. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 1-4 Wochen | 60-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Completed Experiment Canvas, Success Metric |
Tagsno overlap | LeanStartupValidationMVP | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryHypothesis |