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Criterion
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-120 min1-3 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
1-62-81-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision RationaleFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections
Tagsno overlap
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
SensemakingDecisionRationale
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
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