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Criterion
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a Business Model Canvas with nine connected compartments, a few notes and symbols for customers, delivery and economic relationships.
Business Strategy
Business Model Canvas
Purposedifferent
When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
45-90 min45-90 min1-4 Wochen1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
1-62-86-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesBusiness Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses
Tagsno overlap
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
Business modelStrategyValueInnovation
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