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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 1-3 h | 60-120 min | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | SensemakingDecisionRationale | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |