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Criterion
Paper illustration of a Lean Canvas with nine fields, notes, and one highlighted learning risk.
Product Strategy
Lean Canvas
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min10-20 min daily2-8 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-612-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment BacklogDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesProblem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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