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Criterion
Paper illustration for Knowledge Mapping.
Knowledge Modeling
Knowledge Mapping
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration for Three-Point Estimation.
Decision Making
Three-Point Estimation
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 h or multiple rounds10-30 min je Item1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-124-12 Experten1-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Knowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer PlanEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesThree-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
KnowledgeMappingRisk
EstimationExpertsForecasting
EstimationUncertaintyForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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