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Criterion
Paper illustration for Knowledge Mapping.
Knowledge Modeling
Knowledge Mapping
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHighLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h1-4 Wochen1-4 h or multiple rounds45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-126-30 Experten4-12 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Knowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
KnowledgeMappingRisk
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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