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Criterion
Paper illustration for Kepner-Tregoe
Operations
Kepner-Tregoe
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowLowLow
Timedifferent
2-8 h20–45 min10-20 min daily15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-8Small cross-functional group12-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review NotesRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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