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Criterion
Incident Command workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Incident Command
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
During an acute incident with several people involved, the method creates a clear leadership and communication structure. It reduces chaos when fast coordination and clean situational awareness are both needed at once.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
As needed30-90 min45-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
4-153-122-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Incident Log, Action Tracker, Stakeholder UpdatesPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
IncidentOperationsReliability
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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