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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Purposedifferent
When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min30-90 min1-4 Wochen0.5-2 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-81-106-30 Experten4-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options
Tags1 shared
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
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