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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 20–45 min | 10-20 min daily | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | Small cross-functional group | 1 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |