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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Theory of Change
Systems Thinking
Theory of Change
Purposedifferent
When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
45-90 min60-120 min30-90 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-83-101-64-12
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListTheory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures
Tagsno overlap
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
DecisionTreeOptions
ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy
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