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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Theory of Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Theory of Change translates a desired impact into a traceable chain of change. It makes assumptions, intermediate goals, and measurement points visible before a program is rolled out at scale. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-8 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Theory of Change Map, Assumptions, Outcome Measures |
Tagsno overlap | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ImpactOutcomesSystems thinkingStrategy |