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Criterion
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
45-90 min45-90 min30-90 min20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-82-81-10Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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