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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-94-12 Experten1-66-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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