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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighMedium
Timedifferent
15-60 min1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
2-94-12 Experten1-62-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summaryAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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