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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration of Value Chain Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Value Chain Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 minHalf day1-4 h or multiple rounds1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-93-84-12 Experten6-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsValue Chain Map, Lever ListEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis
EstimationExpertsForecasting
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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