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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowLowHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min20–45 min1-5 Tage1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-9Small cross-functional groupNutzertraffic1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning NoteExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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