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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min15-60 min je Zyklus30-90 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-91-83-126-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split CandidatesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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