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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min1-4 Wochen45-90 min1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
2-96-30 Experten3-124-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesForce Field Map, Change Levers, Risk NotesEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
ChangeDecisionStrategy
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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