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| Criterion |  Agile Ideal Days |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Product Discovery Dual-Track Agile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When uncertainty and delivery run in parallel, it separates learning work from implementation while keeping both connected. It prevents unvalidated ideas from falling directly into the delivery stream. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 15-60 min | 1-4 Wochen | 90-180 min | Laufend, Wochen bis Monate |
Participantsdifferent | 2-9 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity Caveats | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Discovery Backlog, Delivery Backlog, Experiment-Ergebnisse, Validierte Stories |
Tagsno overlap | EstimationEffortAgile | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | AgileDiscoveryDelivery |