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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of Business Model Stress Test with its method-specific working model.
Business Strategy
Business Model Stress Test
Paper illustration for Wideband Delphi.
Decision Making
Wideband Delphi
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario.A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min1-4 WochenHalf day1-4 h or multiple rounds
Participantsdifferent
2-96-30 Experten3-84-12 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesStress Test Report, Action Plan per ScenarioEstimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis
EstimationExpertsForecasting
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