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Criterion
Paper illustration for Ideal Days.
Agile
Ideal Days
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
When effort needs to be thought of as real working time, it offers a simple common denominator for comparison. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, and Capacity Caveats.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
15-60 min45-60 min20–45 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-92-8Small cross-functional group1-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Ideal Day Estimates, Assumption Notes, Capacity CaveatsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
EstimationEffortAgile
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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