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Criterion
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighHigh
Timedifferent
30-60 min2-4 h2-6 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
2-103-83-103-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Iceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention IdeasFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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