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Criterion
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
A 5 Whys working surface connects an observable problem with evidenced causes, marked uncertainty and concrete countermeasures with ownership.
Operations
5 Whys
Purposedifferent
The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For a single, hard-to-explain deviation, the method exposes the causal chain behind the visible symptom. It keeps the cause open until a controllable condition emerges instead of a mere description.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighHighLow
Timedifferent
30-60 min2-4 h2-6 h15-30 min
Participantsdifferent
2-103-83-102-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Iceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention IdeasFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsRoot cause notes, Countermeasures
Tagsno overlap
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
Root causeIncidentLeanProblem solving
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