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Criterion
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Knowledge Mapping.
Knowledge Modeling
Knowledge Mapping
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Purposedifferent
IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
1-3 h60-120 min1-3 h20–45 min
Participantsdifferent
2-83-103-12Small cross-functional group
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Issue Map, Positions, Argument NotesFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsKnowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer PlanRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log
Tagsno overlap
RationaleKnowledgeDecision
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
KnowledgeMappingRisk
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
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