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| Criterion |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List |
Tagsno overlap | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment |