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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowHighMediumHigh
Timedifferent
30–45 min0.5-2 Tage60-180 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-104-124-206-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsCynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking NotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
ComplexitySensemakingDecision
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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