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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.When demand is still unclear, it measures interest in a feature before it is built. It separates real behavior from polite agreement and deliberately keeps build effort small.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30–45 min20–45 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
1-10Small cross-functional group2-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results ReportClick Data, Interest Signal, Learning Decision
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
ValidationExperimentsDemandDiscovery
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